20.500.12556/RUP-23542 Education and youth unemployment in South Africa after COVID-19 evidence from the General Household Survey (GHS) Izobraževanje in brezposelnost mladih v Južni Afriki po covidu-19 dokazi iz splošne ankete o gospodinjstvih Youth unemployment remains a major challenge in South Africa, and the COVID-19 pandemic has further disrupted education and labour-market transitions. This study investigates how educational attainment influences youth unemployment in the post-COVID period using the nationally representative 2021 General Household Survey. A sample of 3,652 youths was analysed using logit and probit models across three specifications that incorporate education, demographic factors, and household welfare characteristics. The results show that higher education significantly reduces the likelihood of unemployment, with the strongest effects for diploma and degree holders. However, these effects vary across provinces. Youth in Free State, Northwest, and Limpopo experience high unemployment even with higher qualifications, indicating weak regional labour markets. A sensitivity analysis reveals that returns to education are lower in mining-dependent provinces. The study concludes that expanding education alone is insufficient without addressing provincial labour-market constraints. Brezposelnost mladih v Južni Afriki ostaja velik izziv, pandemija covida19 pa je dodatno porušila izobraževalne poti in prehode na trg dela. Pričujoča raziskava preučuje, kako dosežena izobrazba vpliva na brezposelnost mladih v obdobju po covidu19 z uporabo nacionalno reprezentativne splošne ankete o gospodinjstvih (angl. General House hold Survey – GHS) iz leta 2021. Vzorec 3.652 mladih je bil analiziran z uporabo logitnih in probitnih modelov v treh specifikacijah, ki vključujejo izobraževanje, demografske dejavnike in značilnosti blaginje gospodinjstev. Rezultati kažejo, da višja izobrazba bistveno zmanjšuje verjetnost brezposelnosti, pri čemer so učinki najmočnejši pri osebah z diplomami in univerzitetnimi nazivi. Vendar se ti učinki med provincami razlikujejo. Mladi v provincah Free State, Northwest in Limpopo se tudi ob višjih kvalifikacijah soočajo z visoko brezposelnostjo, kar kaže na šibke regionalne trge dela. Analiza občutljivosti razkriva, da so donosi od izobraževanja nižji v provincah, odvisnih od rudarstva. Raziskava zaključuje, da širitev izobraževanja sama po sebi ni zadostna, ne da bi se ob tem naslovilo omejitve na ravni regionalnih trgov dela. education youth unemployment General Household Survey (GHS) data post COVID-19 South Africa izobraževanje brezposelnost mladih podatki splošne ankete o gospodinjstvih (GHS) obdobje po covidu 19 Južna Afrika true false false University of Primorska Press Angleški jezik Slovenski jezik Neznano 2026-08-24 14:26:39 2026-08-24 14:26:39 2026-08-25 03:07:43 0000-00-00 00:00:00 2026 0 Koper 0 str. 281–304, 307-308 no. 2 Vol. 24 2026 0000-00-00 Zaloznikova Objavljeno NiDoloceno 0000-00-00 0000-00-00 0000-00-00 331.56:37 1854-6935 10.26493/1854-6935.24.281-304 288150275 ZUP_Erasmus_Lana_2026.pdf ZUP_Erasmus_Lana_2026.pdf 1 32BC345676B4F61CF51F3C0BE611A177 4e4b8ee288a54bdee5d7d9c1e719dd9391d5e2ae799d85c7dc0f0b10abd9d5b6 0daac196-9fb7-11f1-9e8d-005056ac49c0 https://repozitorij.upr.si/Dokument.php?lang=slv&id=34914 https://www.hippocampus.si/ISSN/1854-6935/24.281-304.pdf 0 fdbe2c77-9fb6-11f1-9e8d-005056ac49c0 https://repozitorij.upr.si/Dokument.php?lang=slv&id=34913 Založba Univerze na Primorskem 0 0 0