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1.
Leveraging machine learning to predict academic success : a literature review and bibliometric trend analysis
Bor Bregant, Andreja Istenič, 2026, pregledni znanstveni članek

Opis: This study synthesizes research on the use of machine learning (ML) to predict academic success through a three-scope approach. First, a systematic review of 33 review studies from Web of Science (WOS), Scopus, and Taylor & Francis identifies prevailing methods, levels of prediction, and recurrent gaps in the literature. The synthesis of 33 review studies reveals a consolidation around supervised learning approaches and prediction-focused frameworks, with recurring gaps related to real world implementation and pedagogical integration. Second, a qualitative synthesis of the 10 most cited WOS articles provides in-depth insight into influential algorithmic strategies, data sources, and emerging emphases on explainability, human-centered modeling, and early intervention. Third, a bibliometric analysis of 520 WOS articles maps publication trends, country-level productivity, keyword co-occurrence, citation patterns, and international collaboration networks. Results indicate growing publication activity between 2018 and 2025, with research thematically clustering around methodological foundations in educational data mining, model development and prediction strategies, and contextual applications primarily in higher education, with limited chronological differentiation across themes. China leads in publication volume, while major collaboration hubs are concentrated in Australia, India, and Saudi Arabia. Persistent challenges include inconsistent terminology, data heterogeneity, and limited real-world deployment of ML models.
Ključne besede: data mining, machine learning, academic success, education, systematic literature review, bibliometric analysis
Objavljeno v RUP: 08.09.2026; Ogledov: 361; Prenosov: 10
.pdf Celotno besedilo (1,91 MB)
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2.
Factors affecting students’ performance on national assessments of mathematics in Italy : a random forest approach
Daniel Doz, Bor Bregant, 2024, izvirni znanstveni članek

Opis: This paper investigates the impact of teacher-assigned grades in Mathematics and Italian, students’ gender, and geographical macroregion on students’ performance in the Italian INVALSI mathematics assessment, using Random Forest analysis across grades 2, 5, 8, 10, and 13. Findings revealed that the two most influential factors are mathematics and Italian teacher-assigned grades, followed by gender. Boys consistently achieve higher INVALSI scores, while girls receive higher teacher-assigned grades. Performance disparities are observed among the five Italian geographic macroregions, with students from northern and central Italy performing better. Linguistic abilities and gender show varying significance across grades. The role of geographic macroregion is more pronounced in high school. Results were confirmed using Boosting Regression, validating the findings. This study highlights the significance of teacher-assigned grades, linguistic skills, gender, and geographic disparities in predicting students’ performance on the INVALSI mathematics test, showcasing the value of machine learning modelsin addressing educational equity.
Ključne besede: INVALSI, mathematics, national assessment, random forest, grades
Objavljeno v RUP: 22.01.2026; Ogledov: 1014; Prenosov: 12
.pdf Celotno besedilo (2,27 MB)
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