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Title:Modelling the spread of infectious diseases in public transport systems under varying demand patterns and capacity constraints
Authors:ID Hajdu, László (Author)
ID Pavlović, Jovan (Author)
ID Krész, Miklós Ferenz (Author)
ID Bóta, András (Author)
Files:.pdf RAZ_Hajdu_Laszlo_2025.pdf (3,94 MB)
MD5: 711B31E0C0389C56E00D2F7D7DD78DFE
 
URL https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-025-15237-9
 
Language:English
Work type:Article
Typology:1.01 - Original Scientific Article
Organization:FAMNIT - Faculty of Mathematics, Science and Information Technologies
IAM - Andrej Marušič Institute
Abstract:Understanding the dynamics of passenger interactions and their epidemiological impact across public transportation systems is crucial for both service efficiency and public health. High passenger density and close physical proximity have been shown to accelerate the spread of infectious diseases. During the COVID-19 pandemic, many public transportation companies took measures to slow down and minimize the spread of the disease. One of these measures was introducing spacing and capacity constraints on public transit vehicles. Our objective is to explore the effects of changes in demand and transportation measures from an epidemiological point of view, offering alternative measures to public transportation companies to keep the system operational while minimizing the epidemiological risk as much as possible. Our findings show that restricting vehicle capacity can significantly reduce the spread of infections, while demand-related measures have an even stronger effect. Combining these approaches offers the best solutions for balancing public health and operability.
Keywords:agent based modelling, infectious diseases, network analysis
Publication date:15.08.2025
Year of publishing:2025
Number of pages:str. 1-15
Numbering:Vol. 15, article no. ǂ29958
PID:20.500.12556/RUP-21617 This link opens in a new window
UDC:616.9:656:004
ISSN on article:2045-2322
DOI:10.1038/s41598-025-15237-9 This link opens in a new window
COBISS.SI-ID:246769667 This link opens in a new window
Publication date in RUP:27.08.2025
Views:484
Downloads:3
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Record is a part of a journal

Title:Scientific reports
Shortened title:Sci. rep.
Publisher:Nature Publishing Group
ISSN:2045-2322
COBISS.SI-ID:18727432 This link opens in a new window

Document is financed by a project

Funder:ARIS - Slovenian Research and Innovation Agency
Project number:I0-0035-2022
Name:Infrastrukturna skupina Univerze na Primorskem

Funder:EC - European Commission
Project number:101146276
Name:Geometric algorithms for transport network graphs
Acronym:GA-TNG

Funder:ARIS - Slovenian Research and Innovation Agency
Project number:N1-0223-2021
Name:Povratna logistika biomase lesnih ostankov

Funder:Other - Other funder or multiple funders
Project number:0013103
Name:CogniCom

Funder:FWF - Austrian Science Fund
Funding programme:Austrian Science Fund (FWF)
Project number:I 5443
Name:Reverse supply chain of residual wood biomass

Licences

License:CC BY 4.0, Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International
Link:http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Description:This is the standard Creative Commons license that gives others maximum freedom to do what they want with the work as long as they credit the author.

Secondary language

Language:Slovenian
Keywords:agentno modeliranje, kužne bolezni, analiza omrežij


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