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Title:International Trade and Economic Growth in an Oil-Dependent Country: Case of Nigeria
Authors:ID Adekunle, Oludayo (Author)
Files:URL https://ojs.upr.si/index.php/fm/article/download/181/84
 
.pdf MGT_Adekunle_Oludayo_2025.pdf (380,85 KB)
MD5: DC9071FCFB84EE5C7EE8FDE683C631DA
 
Language:English
Work type:Article
Typology:1.01 - Original Scientific Article
Organization:ZUP - University of Primorska Press
Abstract:This paper examines the effect of disaggregated international trade on the economic growth of Nigeria. The data and specified model were analysed with Autoregressive Distributed Lag and Toda-Yamamoto techniques. It was found that both non-oil and oil exports enhance economic growth. However, non-oil and oil imports impede economic growth. Furthermore, overall causality results revealed that while non-oil and oil exports and non-oil imports had bi-directional causality with economic growth, nonoil imports did not have causality with economic growth. Consequently, the government should prioritise export-led policy to facilitate economic performance in Nigeria. Findings emphasised the need for the diversification of the economy for higher economic growth and sustainability inthe long run. The paper enriches the literature on the relationship between international trade and economic growth in Nigeria by adequately disaggregating trade components to reflect the economic structure of the Nigerian economy. Also, it brings new empirical findings on the trade-growth relationship in an oil-dependent developing country. This study can provide a theoretical framework for research in countries that oil dependent.
Keywords:international trade, economic performance, trade policy, developing economies, ARDL, Toda-Yamamoto
Publication status:Published
Publication version:Version of Record
Publication date:30.06.2025
Year of publishing:2025
Numbering:Vol. 23, no. 2
PID:20.500.12556/RUP-22249 This link opens in a new window
eISSN:1854-6935
DOI:https://doi.org/10.26493/1854-6935.23.147-174 This link opens in a new window
Publication date in RUP:18.12.2025
Views:175
Downloads:1
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Record is a part of a journal

Title:Managing Global Transitions
Publisher:University of Primorska Press
ISSN:1854-6935

Licences

License:CC BY-SA 4.0, Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International
Link:http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/
Description:This Creative Commons license is very similar to the regular Attribution license, but requires the release of all derivative works under this same license.

Secondary language

Language:Slovenian
Title:Mednarodna trgovina in gospodarska rast v državi, odvisni od nafte: primer Nigerije
Abstract:Pričujoči članek preučuje vpliv razčlenjene mednarodne trgovine na gospodarsko rast Nigerije. Podatki in izbrani model so bili analizirani z uporabo metod ARDL (iz angl. Autoregressive Distributed Lag) in Toda-Yamamoto. Ugotovljeno je bilo, da tako izvoz naftnih kot nenaftnih proizvodov spodbuja gospodarsko rast. Medtem pa uvoz naftnih in nenaftnih proizvodov gospodarsko rast zavira. Nadalje so rezultati vzročnosti pokazali, da obstaja obojesmerna vzročnost med izvozom (naftnim in nenaftnim) ter nenaftnim uvozom in gospodarsko rastjo, medtem ko ni bilo ugotovljene vzročnosti med naftnim uvozom in gospodarsko rastjo. Zato bi morala vlada dati prednost izvozno usmerjeni politiki za spodbujanje gospodarske uspešnosti v Nigeriji. Ugotovitve poudarjajo potrebo po diverzifikaciji gospodarstva za doseganje višje gospodarske rasti in dolgoročne trajnosti. Članek bogati literaturo o povezavi med mednarodno trgovino in gospodarsko rastjo v Nigeriji z ustrezno razčlenitvijo trgovinskih komponent, ki odražajo gospodarsko strukturo nigerijskega gospodarstva. Poleg tega prinaša nova empirična spoznanja o povezavi med trgovino in rastjo v državi v razvoju, ki je odvisna od nafte.
Keywords:mednarodna trgovina, gospodarska uspešnost, trgovinska politika, države v razvoju, ARDL, Toda-Yamamotoo


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