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Title:Do agri-environmental schemes reduce farm greenhouse gas emissions? : evidence from Slovenia
Authors:ID Bojnec, Štefan (Author)
ID Fertő, Imre (Author)
Files:.pdf RAZ_Bojnec_Stefan_2026.pdf (2,34 MB)
MD5: C605E8D77DAE02B1AECA09347899EA0F
 
URL https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0048969726000446
 
Language:English
Work type:Article
Typology:1.01 - Original Scientific Article
Organization:FM - Faculty of Management
Abstract:Reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from agriculture is a key objective of the European Union's Green Deal and is among considerations of the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP). Agri-environmental schemes (AES) are the main CAP instruments to promote more sustainable farming, yet their short-term climate effectiveness remains uncertain. This study provides the first farm-level evidence for Slovenia on whether AES participation reduces GHG emission intensity and whether effects differ across production systems. Using a balanced panel of 227 farms from the Farm Accountancy Data Network (2014–2021), we estimate dynamic treatment effects of AES adoption on net carbon dioxide-equivalent emissions per hectare, applying modern difference-in-differences (DiD) estimators for staggered adoption and extensive robustness checks, including alternative estimators, placebo tests, and dynamic conditioning. Results show that AES adopters had higher pre-adoption emission intensity, consistent with targeted uptake by higher-emission farms. However, estimated reductions in emission intensity during the first one to two years after adoption are small, statistically insignificant, and robust across specifications. These findings suggest that broad, practice-based AES may not deliver immediate, measurable climate benefits at the farm level, either because effects take longer to materialize or because current schemes are insufficiently targeted to high-emission sources. Policies that combine more precise targeting, climate-specific measures, and long-term monitoring may be needed to unlock the full climate mitigation potential of AES.
Keywords:agri-environmental schemes, greenhouse gas emissions, difference-in-differences, agricultural policy evaluation, Slovenia
Publication version:Version of Record
Publication date:14.01.2026
Year of publishing:2026
Number of pages:str. 1-12
Numbering:Vol. 1014, [article no.] 181387
PID:20.500.12556/RUP-22948 This link opens in a new window
UDC:338.43.02
ISSN on article:1879-1026
DOI:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2026.181387 This link opens in a new window
COBISS.SI-ID:265232131 This link opens in a new window
Publication date in RUP:13.04.2026
Views:31
Downloads:2
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Record is a part of a journal

Title:Science of the total environment
Publisher:Elsevier
ISSN:1879-1026
COBISS.SI-ID:23110917 This link opens in a new window

Document is financed by a project

Funder:ARIS - Slovenian Research and Innovation Agency
Project number:N5-0312-2023
Name:Zeleni prehod in trajnost Skupne kmetijske politike: madžarsko-slovenska primerjava

Licences

License:CC BY-NC-ND 4.0, Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International
Link:http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
Description:The most restrictive Creative Commons license. This only allows people to download and share the work for no commercial gain and for no other purposes.

Secondary language

Language:Slovenian
Abstract:Zmanjšanje emisij toplogrednih plinov (TGP) iz kmetijstva je ključni cilj Zelenega dogovora Evropske unije in je med vidiki skupne kmetijske politike (SKP). Kmetijsko-okoljske sheme (KOP) so glavni instrumenti SKP za spodbujanje bolj trajnostnega kmetijstva, vendar njihova kratkoročna učinkovitost glede podnebja ostaja negotova. Ta študija zagotavlja prve dokaze na ravni kmetij za Slovenijo o tem, ali sodelovanje v KOP zmanjšuje intenzivnost emisij TGP in ali se učinki razlikujejo med proizvodnimi sistemi. Z uporabo uravnoteženega nabora 227 kmetij iz Mreže podatkov o računovodstvu kmetij (2014–2021) ocenjujemo dinamične učinke uvedbe KOP na neto emisije ekvivalenta ogljikovega dioksida na hektar, pri čemer uporabljamo sodobne ocenjevalnike razlik v razlikah (DiD) za postopno uvedbo in obsežne preglede robustnosti, vključno z alternativnimi ocenjevalniki, placebo testi in dinamičnim pogojevanjem. Rezultati kažejo, da so imeli kmetije, ki so uvedle KOP, pred uvedbo višjo intenzivnost emisij, kar je skladno s ciljno uvedbo kmetij z višjimi emisijami. Vendar pa so ocenjena zmanjšanja intenzivnosti emisij v prvem do dveh letih po uvedbi majhna, statistično nepomembna in robustna v vseh specifikacijah. Te ugotovitve kažejo, da široke, na praksi temelječe AES morda ne bodo prinesle takojšnjih, merljivih podnebnih koristi na ravni kmetij, bodisi zato, ker se učinki pojavijo pozneje bodisi zato, ker sedanje sheme niso dovolj usmerjene na vire z visokimi emisijami. Za sprostitev celotnega potenciala AES za blaženje podnebnih sprememb bodo morda potrebne politike, ki združujejo natančnejše ciljanje, podnebno specifične ukrepe in dolgoročno spremljanje.
Keywords:kmetijsko-okoljske sheme, emisije toplogrednih plinov, razlika v razlikah, vrednotenje kmetijske politike, Slovenija


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