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Title:Scaling up the clean energy transition in Turkey : the role of financial development, green technologies, and economic complexity
Authors:ID Joof, Foday (Author)
ID Seraj, Mehdi (Author)
Files:.pdf ZUP_Joof_Foday_2026.pdf (428,50 KB)
MD5: 58D8C49A8C0207C73376BF3DD5A270A7
 
URL https://www.hippocampus.si/ISSN/1854-6935/24.203-225.pdf
 
Language:English
Work type:Unknown
Typology:1.01 - Original Scientific Article
Organization:ZUP - University of Primorska Press
Abstract:The transition to a low-carbon economy represents a significant challenge and opportunity for Turkey, whose energy mix is 90% fossil fuel. In this context, this research aims to analyse the role of financial development (FD), economic complexity (EC), and environmental technology (PET) on renewable energy consumption (REC) in Turkey over the period from 1980 to 2020. The Fourier Bootstrap ARDL (FBARDL) approach, a new technique that can capture up to five smooth structural breaks and address small sample biases, indicates that a significant ‘green structural lock-in’ exists, where a 1% rise in FD and EC causes a 1.12% and 0.70% decrease in REC, respectively. In other words, Turkey’s financial development and economic complexity are still locked into fossil fuel consumption. In contrast, PET positively influences REC, where a 1% rise in PET causes a 0.12% rise in REC. The Granger causality test further confirms that FD and PET have a one-way causality to REC. The research contributes to the existing literature on the Turkish energy equilibrium, providing a much-needed antidote to the prevailing ‘positive finance’ assumptions in non-OECD economies.
Keywords:financial development, renewable energy, environmental technology, Turkey, Fourier Bootstrap ARDL
Publication status:Published
Publication version:Version of Record
Place of publishing:Koper
Publisher:University of Primorska Press
Year of publishing:2026
Number of pages:str. 203–225, 305-306
Numbering:Vol. 24, no. 2
PID:20.500.12556/RUP-23539 This link opens in a new window
UDC:330.34:620.97
ISSN on article:1854-6935
DOI:10.26493/1854-6935.24.203-225 This link opens in a new window
COBISS.SI-ID:288597507 This link opens in a new window
Publication date in RUP:24.08.2026
Views:37
Downloads:0
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Record is a part of a journal

Title:Managing global transitions : international research journal
Publisher:Faculty of management, Faculty of management, University of Primorska Press
ISSN:1854-6935
COBISS.SI-ID:230019072 This link opens in a new window

Licences

License:CC BY-SA 4.0, Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International
Link:http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/
Description:This Creative Commons license is very similar to the regular Attribution license, but requires the release of all derivative works under this same license.

Secondary language

Language:Slovenian
Title:Povečanje obsega prehoda na čisto energijo v Turčiji : vloga finančnega razvoja, zelenih tehnologij in gospodarske kompleksnosti
Abstract:Prehod na nizkoogljično gospodarstvo za Turčijo predstavlja pomemben izziv in hkrati priložnost, saj njena energetska mešanica v več kot 90 % temelji na fosilnih gorivih. V tem kontekstu je cilj pričujoče raziskave analizirati vlogo finančnega razvoja (angl. financial development – FD), gospodarske kompleksnosti (GK) in okoljskih tehnologij (PET) pri rabi obnovljivih virov energije (OVE) v Turčiji v obdobju od leta 1980 do 2020. Pristop Fourier Bootstrap ARDL (FBARDL), nova metoda, ki lah ko zazna do pet gladkih strukturnih prelomov in odpravi pristranskosti majhnih vzorcev, kaže, da obstaja pomembna »zelena strukturna zaklenjenost«, kjer enoodstotno povečanje FD in GK povzroči zmanjšanje OVE za 1,12 oz. 0,70 %. Z drugimi besedami, finančni razvoj in gospo darska kompleksnost Turčije sta še vedno vezana na porabo fosilnih goriv. Nasprotno pa PET pozitivno vpliva na RVE, saj enoodstotno po večanje PET povzroči 0,12odstotno rast OVE. Test Grangerjeve vzročnosti dodatno potrjuje, da imata FD in PET enosmerno vzročnost do OVE. Raziskava prispeva k obstoječi literaturi o turškem energetskem ravnovesju ter ponuja prepotrebno protiutež prevladujočim predpo stavkam o »pozitivnih učinkih financ« v nečlanicah OECD.
Keywords:finančni razvoj, obnovljiva energija, okoljske tehnologije, Turčija, Fourier Bootstrap ARDL


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