| Title: | The Impact of Demographic Dynamics on Household Saving in Pre-COVID-19 South Africa |
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| Authors: | ID Nwogbo, Afamefuna Emmanuel (Author) ID Eita, Joel Hinaunye (Author) ID Chetty, Sivan (Author) |
| Files: | https://ojs.upr.si/index.php/fm/article/download/216/85
MGT_Nwogbo_Afamefuna_Emmanuel_2025.pdf (234,48 KB) MD5: 7AFA6EF7EB3C4B50EABEEA2189C5A1A2
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| Language: | English |
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| Work type: | Article |
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| Typology: | 1.01 - Original Scientific Article |
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| Organization: | ZUP - University of Primorska Press
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| Abstract: | This paper examines the effect of demographic dynamics on household saving in pre-COVID-19 South Africa, across all nine provinces of South Africa. The study used panel autoregressive distributed lag (PARDL) and Dumitrescu-Hurlin panel causality methods. The results revealed a longrun relationship between demographic dynamics and household saving in South Africa, showing that the White working age population had a significant effect on South Africa’s household saving in both the long-run and short-run, while the Black and Coloured working age population groups significantly impacted household saving only in the long-run. However, the Asian/Indian working age population had no effect on household saving in either the long run or short run. The Dumitrescu-Hurlin panel causality analysis revealed a bidirectional causality running between Asian/Indian, Black, and Coloured population groups and household saving, while a unidirectional causality was found running from the White population group to household saving. |
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| Keywords: | demographics, working age population, aged/elderly population, life-cycle hypothesis, household saving, panel ARDL, Dumitrescu-Hurlin panel causality |
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| Publication status: | Published |
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| Publication version: | Version of Record |
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| Publication date: | 30.06.2025 |
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| Year of publishing: | 2025 |
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| Numbering: | Vol. 23, no. 2 |
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| PID: | 20.500.12556/RUP-22248  |
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| eISSN: | 1854-6935 |
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| DOI: | https://doi.org/10.26493/1854-6935.23.121-146  |
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| Publication date in RUP: | 18.12.2025 |
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| Views: | 209 |
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| Downloads: | 0 |
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