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Title:The Impact of Demographic Dynamics on Household Saving in Pre-COVID-19 South Africa
Authors:ID Nwogbo, Afamefuna Emmanuel (Author)
ID Eita, Joel Hinaunye (Author)
ID Chetty, Sivan (Author)
Files:URL https://ojs.upr.si/index.php/fm/article/download/216/85
 
.pdf MGT_Nwogbo_Afamefuna_Emmanuel_2025.pdf (234,48 KB)
MD5: 7AFA6EF7EB3C4B50EABEEA2189C5A1A2
 
Language:English
Work type:Article
Typology:1.01 - Original Scientific Article
Organization:ZUP - University of Primorska Press
Abstract:This paper examines the effect of demographic dynamics on household saving in pre-COVID-19 South Africa, across all nine provinces of South Africa. The study used panel autoregressive distributed lag (PARDL) and Dumitrescu-Hurlin panel causality methods. The results revealed a longrun relationship between demographic dynamics and household saving in South Africa, showing that the White working age population had a significant effect on South Africa’s household saving in both the long-run and short-run, while the Black and Coloured working age population groups significantly impacted household saving only in the long-run. However, the Asian/Indian working age population had no effect on household saving in either the long run or short run. The Dumitrescu-Hurlin panel causality analysis revealed a bidirectional causality running between Asian/Indian, Black, and Coloured population groups and household saving, while a unidirectional causality was found running from the White population group to household saving.
Keywords:demographics, working age population, aged/elderly population, life-cycle hypothesis, household saving, panel ARDL, Dumitrescu-Hurlin panel causality
Publication status:Published
Publication version:Version of Record
Publication date:30.06.2025
Year of publishing:2025
Numbering:Vol. 23, no. 2
PID:20.500.12556/RUP-22248 This link opens in a new window
eISSN:1854-6935
DOI:https://doi.org/10.26493/1854-6935.23.121-146 This link opens in a new window
Publication date in RUP:18.12.2025
Views:209
Downloads:0
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Record is a part of a journal

Title:Managing Global Transitions
Publisher:University of Primorska Press
ISSN:1854-6935

Licences

License:CC BY-SA 4.0, Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International
Link:http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/
Description:This Creative Commons license is very similar to the regular Attribution license, but requires the release of all derivative works under this same license.

Secondary language

Language:Slovenian
Title:Vpliv demografskih dinamik na varčevanje gospodinjstev v Južni Afriki pred pandemijo covida-19
Abstract:Pričujoči članek preučuje vpliv demografskih dinamik na varčevanje gospodinjstev v Južni Afriki pred pandemijo covida-19, in sicer v vseh devetih provincah Južne Afrike. Raziskava je uporabila metodo PARDL (iz angl. panel autoregressive distributed lag) in Dumitrescu-Hurlinovo metodo panelne vzročnosti. Rezultati so pokazali dolgoročno povezavo med demografskimi dinamikami in varčevanjem gospodinjstev v Južni Afriki. Ugotovljeno je bilo, da ima delovno sposobno belo prebivalstvo pomemben vpliv na varčevanje gospodinjstev tako na dolgi kot na kratki rok, medtem ko imata delovno sposobni skupini temnopoltih in mešane rase pomemben vpliv le na dolgi rok. Po drugi strani pa delovno sposobno prebivalstvo azijskega/indijskega porekla nima vpliva na varčevanje gospodinjstev niti na dolgi niti na kratki rok. DumitrescuHurlinova analiza panelne vzročnosti je pokazala obojesmerno vzročnost med skupinami azijskega/indijskega in temnopoltega prebivalstva ter prebivalstva mešane rase in varčevanjem gospodinjstev, medtem ko je bila enosmerna vzročnost ugotovljena med belo populacijo in varčevanjem gospodinjstev.
Keywords:demografija, delovno sposobno prebivalstvo, starejše prebivalstvo, hipoteza življenjskega cikla, varčevanje gospodinjstev, panelna ARDL, Dumitrescu-Hurlinova panelna vzročnost


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