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Title:Conspiracy beliefs in post-communist Europe : the role of religiosity, political ideology, and media trust among unvaccinated individuals
Authors:ID Bałandynowicz-Panfil, Katarzyna (Author)
ID Łosiewicz, Malgorzata (Author)
ID Slavec, Ana (Author)
ID Štebe, Janez (Author)
ID Olah, Șerban (Author)
ID Pék, Győző (Author)
ID Kaszás-Nagy, Adrienn (Author)
ID Šoštarič, Mojca (Author)
ID Iwanowska, Magdalena (Author)
Files:.pdf RAZ_Bałandynowicz-Panfil_Katarzyna_2026.pdf (540,46 KB)
MD5: B91E1EC566D61C5F369BEB3A49FA7F78
 
URL https://horyzontypolityki.ignatianum.edu.pl/HP/article/view/2858
 
Language:English
Work type:Article
Typology:1.01 - Original Scientific Article
Organization:FAMNIT - Faculty of Mathematics, Science and Information Technologies
Abstract:RESEARCH OBJECTIVE: This study explores the sociocultural and psycho ‑ logical determinants of conspiracy theory beliefs (CTBs) among unvaccinated individuals in three post-communist countries: Poland, Romania, and Slovenia. The goal is to understand how religiosity, political orientation, media trust, and fear of COVID-19 shape conspiratorial thinking in societies with legacies of institutional distrust and ideological polarization. THE RESEARCH PROBLEM AND METHODS: The central research problem concerns the contextual drivers of CTBs in post-communist Eu ‑ rope, where transitional experiences challenge universal explanatory models. The study draws on data from an online survey of 1,641 unvaccinated individuals collected in 2021. Key constructs-including conspiracy beliefs, trust in institutions and media, religiosity, and political orientation-were measured using validated scales and analyzed through multiple regression models. THE PROCESS OF ARGUMENTATION: The argument integrates histori ‑ cal and structural factors with individual-level predictors of CTBs. It distinguishes between private religiosity and religious practice, analyzes media trust in frag ‑ mented information environments, and contextualizes political ideology within the region’s post-authoritarian trajectories. The analysis emphasizes how fear, belief, and epistemic orientation intersect in shaping vaccine-related conspiracies. RESEARCH RESULTS: Findings indicate that higher private religiosity, left-wing political orientation, low fear of COVID-19, and reliance on digital or informal information sources are positively associated with CTBs. In contrast, trust in traditional media, trust in medical professionals, and participation in organized religious practices predict lower endorsement of conspiracies. Slovenia and Poland show the highest CTB levels. CONCLUSIONS, INNOVATIONS, AND RECOMMENDATIONS: CTBs in post-communist societies reflect both historical legacies and current epistemic vulnerabilities. Addressing them requires context-sensitive strategies that rebuild institutional trust, support civic engagement, and recognize the social functions of structured belief systems. The study contributes to a better understanding of misinformation dynamics in transitional democracies.
Keywords:conspiracy theories, religiosity, political ideology, media trust, post-communist Europe
Publication date:31.03.2026
Year of publishing:2026
Number of pages:str. 323-344
Numbering:Vol. 17, no. 58
PID:20.500.12556/RUP-23012 This link opens in a new window
UDC:316.4:316.77
ISSN on article:2353-950X
DOI:10.35765/HP.2858 This link opens in a new window
COBISS.SI-ID:275957507 This link opens in a new window
Publication date in RUP:05.05.2026
Views:24
Downloads:2
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Record is a part of a journal

Title:Horyzonty Polityki
Shortened title:Horyz. Polityki
Publisher:Akademia Ignatianum. Instytut Politologii
ISSN:2353-950X
COBISS.SI-ID:520460057 This link opens in a new window

Licences

License:CC BY-ND 4.0, Creative Commons Attribution-NoDerivatives 4.0 International
Link:http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nd/4.0/
Description:Under the NoDerivatives Creative Commons license one can take a work released under this license and re-distribute it, but it cannot be shared with others in adapted form, and credit must be provided to the author.

Secondary language

Language:Slovenian
Abstract:CILJ RAZISKAVE: Ta študija raziskuje sociokulturne in psihološke determinante prepričanj o teorijah zarote med necepljenimi posamezniki v treh postsocialističnih državah: Poljski, Romuniji in Sloveniji. Cilj je razumeti, kako religioznost, politična usmerjenost, zaupanje v medije in strah pred COVID-19 oblikujejo zarotniško razmišljanje v družbah z zapuščino institucionalnega nezaupanja in ideološke polarizacije. RAZISKOVALNI PROBLEM IN METODE: Osrednji raziskovalni problem se nanaša na kontekstualne dejavnike CTB v postkomunistični Evropi, kjer tranzicijske izkušnje izzivajo univerzalne pojasnjevalne modele. Študija je osnovana na podatkih splete ankete med 1641 necepljenimi posamezniki, ki so bili zbrani leta 2021. Ključni konstrukti – vključno s prepričanji o teoriji zarote, zaupanjem v institucije in medije, religioznostjo in politično usmerjenostjo – so bili izmerjeni z uporabo validiranih lestvic in analizirani z več regresijskimi modeli. POSTOPEK ARGUMENTACIJE: Argument združuje zgodovinske in strukturne dejavnike z napovedovanjem nagnjenosti k teorijam zarote na individualni ravni. Razlikuje med zasebno religioznostjo in versko prakso, analizira zaupanje v medije v razdrobljenih informacijskih okoljih in kontekstualizira politično ideologijo znotraj post-avtoritarnih trajektorij regije. Analiza poudarja, kako se strah, prepričanje in epistemična usmerjenost prepletajo pri oblikovanju zarot, povezanih s cepljenjem. REZULTATI RAZISKAVE: Ugotovitve kažejo, da so višja zasebna religioznost, levičarska politična usmerjenost, nizek strah pred COVID-19 in zanašanje na digitalne ali neformalne vire informacij pozitivno povezani s strukturiranimi verskimi praksami. Nasprotno pa zaupanje v tradicionalne medije, zaupanje v zdravstvene delavce in sodelovanje v organiziranih verskih praksah napovedujejo nižjo podporo zarotam. Slovenija in Poljska kažeta najvišje ravni strukturiranih verskih praks. SKLEPI, INOVACIJE IN PRIPOROČILA: Strukturirane verske prakse v postkomunističnih družbah odražajo tako zgodovinsko zapuščino kot trenutne epistemološke ranljivosti. Za njihovo obravnavo so potrebne kontekstualno občutljive strategije, ki obnavljajo institucionalno zaupanje, podpirajo državljansko angažiranost in prepoznavajo družbene funkcije strukturiranih sistemov prepričanj. Študija prispeva k boljšemu razumevanju dinamike dezinformacij v tranzicijskih demokracijah.
Keywords:teorije zarote, religioznost, politična ideologija, zaupanje v medije, postkomunistična Evropa


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